Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.369659 0.480116 0.600286 0.738918 0.892796 1.056928 1.243875
2025-08-24 0.181117 0.313840 0.477309 0.683706 0.929437 1.206270 1.536008
2025-08-31 0.102392 0.235671 0.418552 0.665221 0.972542 1.330137 1.766708
2025-09-07 0.059544 0.189612 0.388578 0.672709 1.039613 1.476899 2.020187
2025-09-14 0.029488 0.147871 0.353958 0.665855 1.082352 1.589450 2.229020
2025-09-21 0.010275 0.110206 0.316085 0.647894 1.106037 1.675245 2.403147
2025-09-28 0.004776 0.100459 0.320516 0.687755 1.203680 1.851200 2.684861
2025-10-05 0.002069 0.095659 0.332070 0.737199 1.313601 2.042279 2.984913
2025-10-12 0.000356 0.087762 0.336011 0.774213 1.406225 2.211342 3.258068
2025-10-19 0.000029 0.087806 0.354893 0.833883 1.529635 2.419433 3.579188
2025-10-26 NaN 0.083576 0.364120 0.878115 1.631711 2.600418 3.867167
2025-11-02 NaN 0.070661 0.352452 0.888127 1.685784 2.719717 4.078951
2025-11-09 NaN 0.044366 0.303875 0.837537 1.657038 2.736469 4.169809
2025-11-16 NaN 0.023152 0.254406 0.779576 1.614690 2.734007 4.236173
2025-11-23 NaN 0.013218 0.229128 0.759467 1.624048 2.796764 4.381837
2025-11-30 NaN 0.008751 0.220047 0.767576 1.674342 2.913349 4.595285
2025-12-07 NaN 0.004294 0.203811 0.760205 1.700411 2.996970 4.766471
2025-12-14 NaN 0.001094 0.182872 0.740943 1.707005 3.053539 4.902549
2025-12-21 NaN 0.001012 0.192289 0.783681 1.809141 3.239512 5.204461
2025-12-28 NaN 0.001242 0.206529 0.836588 1.927189 3.447261 5.534531
2026-01-04 NaN 0.001055 0.214350 0.876123 2.024575 3.627078 5.828942
2026-01-11 NaN 0.001624 0.233648 0.939740 2.159460 3.857984 6.189110
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001655 0.245000 0.986811 2.268765 4.054276 6.505038